Cabot Institute Director Professor Rich Pancost will be attending COP21 in Paris as part of the Bristol city-wide team, including the Mayor of Bristol, representatives from Bristol City Council and the Bristol Green Capital Partnership. He will be writing blogs during COP21, reflecting on what is happening in Paris, especially in the Paris and Bristol co-hosted Cities and Regions Pavilion, and also on the conclusion to Bristol’s year as the European Green Capital. Follow #UoBGreen and #COP21 for live updates from the University of Bristol.
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Bristol recognises that it
can do more than follow an emissions path set by others. It can be a Laboratory
for Change.
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Note: This blog is based partly on and includes text from a Bristol City Council press release.
On Monday, the Bristol Team
arrived in Paris for the 2015 UN Climate Change
Conference (COP21). The Bristol
cohort includes not just the Mayor and Bristol City Council, but also
representatives from the Green Capital Partnership and an independent group
from Love the Future (15 stalwarts who cycled from Bristol to Paris through
typically British November weather). I’ll be joining them on Sunday… but some
of the most exciting activity will happen today.
.@Charley_P en-route to #cop21 demonstrating the now internationally famous #lovethefuture heart sign. ;-) pic.twitter.com/oSONxzXeIS
— Our only home (@DarrenHall2015) November 30, 2015
Bristol’s primary engagement with
COP21 will be via the Cities and Regions Pavilion, hosted by Paris and Bristol and facilitated by ICLEI – Local
Governments for Sustainability, with support from over 40 partners. It is testimony to the stature of Bristol as
2015 Green Capital that it is able to share this venue with Paris. Moreover,
the Pavilion is a fantastic opportunity for Bristol to share, connect with and
learn from hundreds of cities from across the globe.
Bristol is one
of 88 cities and regions in 42 countries to present innovative projects aimed
at placing local and regional governments at the heart of positive and
long-term climate action. These
Transformative Action Plans (TAPs) represent a 10-year initiative that aims to
transform the lives of their citizens. They
arise from ICLEI’s recognition that local entities must take the lead in
delivering but also extending the commitments emerging from the national-scale
negotiations. Bristol is pitching two
projects, one on energy efficiency and one on smarter future planning of
cities. The University of Bristol, including its Cabot Institute, has been
closely involved with the development of both and former Bristol Professor Andy
Gouldson will be sharing the stage with Mayor George Ferguson today.
George Ferguson, Mayor of Bristol, said:
The Bristol
Billion should achieve the energy efficiency gains necessary for the city to
meet its 2015 to 2025 emissions reductions targets, but Bristol must also
establish a foundation for the more challenging emission reductions to occur beyond
2025 and especially 2030. Whether it be
transforming the South West energy supply chain via the Bristol Energy Company or transforming its transport system, these changes will be
more challenging and controversial. And that is the basis for the second
project, the ‘Bristol Brain’, which seeks to reimagine how citizens and
planners can work together to shape a sustainable future for the city. The Bristol
Brain is ‘a physical and digital city model, on top of which, real-time data
and sophisticated analytics can be projected and visualised, creating
environments that can be explored through virtual and augmented reality. This
will allow different scenarios for future developments to be explored as if
they are real, and for the impact on energy, transport, air quality and other
factors, to be fully understood.’
George Ferguson, Mayor of Bristol, said:
“Bristol’s innovative plans, boosted by our year as European Green Capital, have been rated amongst the very best across cities and regions around the world thanks to their potential to transform the lives of our citizens. We’re proud to be among the world’s pioneering sustainable thinkers at COP21 and we look forward to bridging the gap ahead of the expected 2020 agreement with immediate actions that help reduce emissions, tackle poverty, improve lives and create new jobs through investment in low carbon projects.”The first proposal, entitled ‘Energy efficiency for everyone’ (or Bristol Billion), is for a $1B (or £700m) investment to make Bristol’s buildings more energy efficient, thereby achieving significant carbon, energy, economic and even health savings. It will involve refurbishing 56,000 homes in Bristol – 30% of the city – and crucially it will not only make our city more sustainable but it will lift these homes out of fuel poverty and reduce health costs. This proposal is based in part on a Cabot Institute-commissioned report that has also been released to the public today: The Economics of Low Carbon Cities: A mini-Stern Review for Bristol. This research shows that Bristol can achieve marked reductions in its emissions while saving money; in fact, the whole project could pay for itself in under a decade. However, such a bold endeavour requires bold financing and hence the Bristol Billion proposition.
The Economics of Low Carbon Cities - report commissioned by the Cabot Institute |
The Bristol
Brain could facilitate city-scale planning decisions ranging from emergency
services, road maintenance, and new public works. It could allow the social and
economic impacts of major investments to be assessed and justified. Most
importantly, it is a tool for testing and thereby empowering the radical
reimagining of Bristol. It is the type of tool that citizens can use to justify
maintenance of the M32… or its conversion into a bus-exclusive route… or even
closing it and turning it into a city-scale garden.
This type of
creative imagining is vital. Professor Colin Taylor, the head of the Cabot Institute's Future Cities research theme,
has argued that robust future city planning requires a city emulator so that we
can truly explore the potential costs and benefits of truly transformative
change. Crucially, the Bristol Brain would also support the more real-time
interactive experiments that will be enabled by Bristol is Open and ensure that Bristol remains at the cutting edge of
creative technology.
There remain
challenges. According to Bristol City Council, ‘The critical next step is to ensure these projects receive adequate
financial resources to address urgent and evolving local needs to create a
sustainable future.’
Another
challenge is ensuring that such projects, especially the Bristol Brain, create
an open and inclusive conversation about Bristol’s future. The University is
committed to supporting these efforts.
If the Bristol Brain were to be made available to the public, perhaps
via an allotment of the University’s High Performance Computing facility, then
it becomes not just a resource for planning and consultation but for
citizen-led propositions and inclusive innovation.
The COP21 ambition, expressed by national governments via their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs), is very likely to fall short of the global target of 2 degrees C warming. As such, it is crucial that other actors, including cities, take the lead in driving a more ambitious emissions reduction agenda. Moreover, they must work with universities, industry and civil society to stimulate, incubate and test new innovations.
The COP21 ambition, expressed by national governments via their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs), is very likely to fall short of the global target of 2 degrees C warming. As such, it is crucial that other actors, including cities, take the lead in driving a more ambitious emissions reduction agenda. Moreover, they must work with universities, industry and civil society to stimulate, incubate and test new innovations.
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Note: This blog is based partly on and includes text from a Bristol City Council press release.
This blog is by Prof Rich Pancost, Director of the Cabot Institute at the University of Bristol. For more information about the University of Bristol at COP21, please visit bristol.ac.uk/green-capital
Prof Rich Pancost
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This blog is part of a COP21 daily report series. View other blogs in the series:
Monday 30 November: COP21 daily report
Wednesday 2 December: Reflecting on the science of climate change
Thursday 3 December: The politics and culture of climate change
Friday 4 December: Be brave, work together and involve the next generation
Wednesday 2 December: Reflecting on the science of climate change
Thursday 3 December: The politics and culture of climate change
Friday 4 December: Be brave, work together and involve the next generation